Friday, June 1, 2012

Reuters: Financial Services and Real Estate: TEXT-S&P takes rating actions in Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-1, 2007-2

Reuters: Financial Services and Real Estate
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TEXT-S&P takes rating actions in Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-1, 2007-2
Jun 1st 2012, 16:24

Fri Jun 1, 2012 12:24pm EDT

  June 1 - OVERVIEW         -- We have carried out our credit and cash flow analysis, applying our       December 2011 U.K. RMBS criteria.              -- Cumulative losses for both transactions are above our nonconforming       index and keep increasing, showing a worsening portfolio quality.              -- 90+ day delinquencies, especially for series 2007-2, are high and not     expected to decrease in the near future.               -- The notes are paying down slowly, especially for series 2007-1, with      slight increases in credit enhancement, not offsetting the losses arising from    the portfolio, which causes the downgrades of the junior notes, unable to         stand further portfolio deterioration.         -- We have taken various rating actions based on our credit and cash flow    analysis of the most recent transaction information that we have received.             -- Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-1 and 2007-2 are the first and second          transactions to securitize residential mortgages offered in the U.K. by           Deutsche Bank's U.K. mortgage origination arm, DB mortgages. The transactions     closed in 2007.             LONDON (Standard & Poor's) June 1, 2012--Standard & Poor's Ratings Services       today took various credit rating actions on the notes issued by Eurohome UK       Mortgages 2007-1 PLC and Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-2 PLC (see list below).                 Today's rating actions follow our credit and cash flow analysis of the most       recent transaction information that we have received (end of April 2012). Our     analysis reflects our December 2011 U.K. residential mortgage-backed      securities (RMBS) criteria and our 2010 counterparty criteria, taking into        account our current ratings on the transaction counterparties. The main           counterparties in these transactions are Deutsche Bank AG (A+/Negative/A-1)       and Barclays Bank PLC (A+/Stable/A-1), acting as the liquidity facility           provider and basis swap provider, respectively.             Cumulative losses in these transactions are high, at 3.33% for series 2007-1      and 4.87% for series 2007-2, and they keep increasing. While series 2007-1 has    90+ day delinquencies in line with observed levels in comparable transactions,    series 2007-2 shows a worse performance.                    Series 2007-1 benefits from a fully funded reserve fund with an annualized        excess spread of 1.1%, and series 2007-2's reserve fund is likely to be topped    up at the next payment date. Any excess spread generated will be used as the      first layer of protection against future losses arising in the portfolio.                   Due to the cumulative loss triggers being breached, the transactions do not       meet the pro rata repayment conditions set out in the transaction documents,      so they are paying sequentially for the remainder of each transaction, and we     have modeled them as such in our analysis.                  The liquidity facility documents are not compliant with our 2010 counterparty     criteria. Therefore, in our cash flow model for both transactions, we have not    considered the benefit of the liquidity facility for notes rated above the        long-term issuer credit rating on the liquidity facility provider, Deutsche       Bank (A+). In series 2007-2, the class A1 notes are able to withstand 'AAA'       stresses even without the liquidity facility in place, while the class A2         notes would not pass rating levels higher than 'A+' when modeling with the        liquidity facility.                 EUROHOME UK MORTGAGES 2007-1                The notes are paying down very slowly, which has resulted in only a slight        increase in credit enhancement levels since our last review. This increase has    not been able to offset the rising cumulative losses in the portfolio that        keep increasing alongside the level of 90+ day delinquencies. These factors       have led to the mezzanine and junior tranches not being able to withstand the     stresses applied at their current rating levels. As a result, we have today       lowered our ratings on the class M1 to B1 notes.                    The rating on the class A notes is capped at the level of the rating on           Deutsche Bank (A+), as these notes would not pass at a higher rating level        without the liquidity facility in place.                    We have affirmed our 'B- (sf)' rating on the class B2 notes because of the        very small amount of credit enhancement available for the tranche.                  The class C notes benefit from the 1.1% of excess spread and the          non-amortizing reserve fund. As the notes are paying down and are current in      payments of both interest and principal, we have raised our rating on this        class to 'B- (sf)'.                 EUROHOME UK MORTGAGES 2007-2                Although the underlying portfolio is of a worse quality than the one      securitized in the 2007-1 series, the structure has higher credit enhancement     levels to support the class A1 notes--which, in fact, can withstand 'AAA'         stresses even when the liquidity facility is not modeled.                   The class A3 to B1 notes do not pass the stresses applied at their current        ratings, and hence we have lowered our ratings on these classes. As in series     2007-1, we have affirmed our 'B- (sf)' rating on the class B2 notes because of    the very small amount of credit enhancement available for the tranche.              The class C notes' principal is repaid through excess spread, and it is           currently paying interest; but it is not paying down principal, as the reserve    fund is below the target amount. We expect the reserve fund to build up to its    required amount at the next payment date, and we therefore expect the class C     notes to start redeeming from the September 2012 interest payment date onward,    if the performance does not deteriorate meaningfully. We have therefore raised    our rating on this class to 'B- (sf)'.              Today's downgrades of the mezzanine and junior tranches in both transactions      reflect the upward trend of the level of cumulative losses, and the high          levels of 90+ day delinquencies.                    CREDIT STABILITY                    Our credit stability analysis indicates that the maximum projected        deterioration that we would expect at each rating level for time horizons of      one year and three years, under moderate stress conditions, is in line with       our credit stability criteria.              STANDARD & POOR'S 17G-7 DISCLOSURE REPORT                   SEC Rule 17g-7 requires an NRSRO, for any report accompanying a credit rating     relating to an asset-backed security as defined in the Rule, to include a         description of the representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms         available to investors and a description of how they differ from the      representations, warranties and enforcement mechanisms in issuances of similar    securities. The Rule applies to in-scope securities initially rated (including    preliminary ratings) on or after Sept. 26, 2011.                    If applicable, the Standard & Poor's 17g-7 Disclosure Reports included in this    credit rating report are available atRELATED CRITERIA AND RESEARCH                       -- U.K. Nonconforming RMBS Index Report Q1 2012: Low Interest Rates Keep     Defaults At Bay As The Economy Contracts, May 9, 2012          -- European Structured Finance Scenario And Sensitivity Analysis: The        Effects Of The Top Five Macroeconomic Factors, March 14, 2012          -- European RMBS CreditWatch Placements Linked To Recent Bank Rating         Actions--Dec. 21, 2011, Dec. 21, 2011          -- Ratings On 764 Tranches In 119 U.K. RMBS Transactions Placed On           CreditWatch Negative After U.K. RMBS Criteria Update, Dec. 12, 2011            -- U.K. RMBS Methodology And Assumptions, Dec. 9, 2011            -- Research Update: Barclays Bank PLC Ratings Lowered To 'A+/A-1' From       'AA-/A-1+' On Bank Criteria Change; Outlook Stable, Nov. 29, 2011              -- Global Structured Finance Scenario And Sensitivity Analysis: The          Effects Of The Top Five Macroeconomic Factors, Nov. 4, 2011            -- Counterparty And Supporting Obligations Methodology And Assumptions,      Dec. 6, 2010           -- Methodology: Credit Stability Criteria, May 3, 2010                 RATINGS LIST                Class                Rating                  To                      From   Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-1 PLC          GBP354.725 Million Mortgage-Backed Floating-Rate Notes Plus An Overissuance Of    Excess-Spread-Backed Floating-Rate Notes                    Rating Affirmed And Removed From CreditWatch Negative     A          A+ (sf)                  A+ (sf)/Watch Neg               Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative     M1         BBB+ (sf)                A- (sf)/Watch Neg     M2         BB (sf)                  BBB- (sf)/Watch Neg   B1         B (sf)                   BB- (sf)/Watch Neg              Rating Affirmed   B2         B- (sf)                  B- (sf)                 Rating Raised     C          B- (sf)                  CCC (sf)                Eurohome UK Mortgages 2007-2 PLC          EUR70 Million, GBP460.5 Million Mortgage-Backed And Excess-Spread-Backed          Floating-Rate Notes                 Ratings Affirmed And Removed From CreditWatch Negative    A1(A)      AAA (sf)                 AAA (sf)/Watch Neg    A1(B)      AAA (sf)                 AAA (sf)/Watch Neg    A2         A+ (sf)                  A+ (sf)/Watch Neg               Ratings Lowered And Removed From CreditWatch Negative     A3         BBB+ (sf)                 A+ (sf)/Watch Neg    M1         BBB (sf)                  BBB+ (sf)/Watch Neg          M2         BB (sf)                   BB+ (sf)/Watch Neg   B1         B (sf)                    B+ (sf)/Watch Neg              Rating Affirmed   B2         B- (sf)                   B- (sf)                Rating Raised     C          B-   (sf)                 D (sf)  
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